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February 6, 2001 Stock Talk

'A new bull market will have new leaders'

Ramesh S Damani doesn't expect the popular infotech stocks of the 1999-2000 rally to touch their earlier levels. Transcript

luminosity : I have shares of Usha Beltron and Usha Martin. Should I hold or sell them? Also, what would you advise for Mah and Mah at these levels?
Ramesh : at current levels I would hold them


Shah : hello Mr. damani , Good Afternoon, so whats your price target for CMC. I know you feel in long run it can have a profit of 80 crores ie EPS of 60
Ramesh : I think you will see a bid for 650-700. It will tend to do well after it is privatised

Shah : Mr. Damani , who is the next likely divestment candidate
Ramesh : Dredging, Engineers, BEML are all potential candidates

Shah : Mr. damani , do u track Engineers India Ltd? Anyways whats ur take on that?
Ramesh : Yes. If privatised it is a good value

ketan : sir,please give your views on Indo Gulf at current price of Rs 52
Ramesh : Technically it looks okay

manishbabla : hello rediff is he online for some questions
Ramesh : Hello Guys

Maltesh : Sir, when you value the stocks do you use discounted cash flows or discounted future earnings? Which is better?
Ramesh : I like to look at market cap first.

KRACHH : SIR,PLEASE GIVE YOUR VIEW ON SHIPPING CORPORATION OF INDIA AND NEYVELI LIGNITE
Ramesh : Both look good especially Shipping

Shah : if u have to rate dredging, engineers and BEML what is your order
Ramesh : Eng, BEML and Dredging

Shah : Mr Damani, KODAK is dormantly moving up, whats cooking there? can i enter at MP
Ramesh : maybe a buyback on Kodak

KRACHH : SIR,PLEASE GIVE YOUR VIEW ON JK CHEMICALS
Ramesh : Don't know much about it

abu : Mr Damani do you think Saw Pipes or Jindal Steel are could I pick at these levels ?
Ramesh : I dont follow these co's

manishbabla : will the market support shares as it had done in the last year
Ramesh : I think so. Leadership will be PSU

KRACHH : PLEASE GIVE YOUR VIEWS ON STERLITE OPTICAL
Ramesh : Neutral at the current time

Maltesh : What are the methods you use to value internet stocks?
Ramesh : If you come up with an answer you get an F

anil : is SAIL worth picking up at current market price
Ramesh : I am not positive on the Steel industry

manishbabla : will IT stocks get back to the earlier levels, specially himachal and pentamedia graphics
Ramesh : Looks tough. A new bull market will have new leaders

lumine : Any idea why DSQ was so much in demand today?
Ramesh : No particular reason

Maltesh : That's nice :) but would it not be possible to value them on the basis of 'eyeballs'?
Ramesh : I doubt it. You need real cash earnings

KRACHH : SIR,IN THE LAST CHAT SECCION I UPDATED YOU WITH THE RESULT OF MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA. PLEASE GIVE YOUR VIEWS AT THE CURRENT PRICE OF RS.172
Ramesh : They are struggling on the auto business. MBT is causing the excitement

lumine : What are your views on day trading?
Ramesh : Best avoided

manishbabla : what do you think of shares like ranbaxy in future and their price levels
Ramesh : It's in a trading range. Its market cap is pretty expensive

mvr : sir, pl. tell me satyam will cross 500 mark
Ramesh : i am an analyst not an astrologer

Maltesh : Which are the good companies to work in India as an Investment Analyst? Any idea as to the pay scale?
Ramesh : Try co's like DSP, Credit Lyonnais HSBC. Analyst could start at Rs 20,000-25,000 a month

anil : what are the good picks in cement sector: can you rate the following in order of preference: ACC, GUJARAT ambuja, L&T, INDIA CEMENT, GRASIM
Ramesh : all of them are good. Grasim looks like having substantial speculative interest

KRACHH : SIR,WHAT IS COOKING AT TELCO
Ramesh : Rumours of buyback and right issue. Why would anyone subscribe if they dont hive off Indica

KRACHH : PLEASE GIVE YOUR 3 PICKS AT THE CURRENT PRICES
Ramesh : Read through the transcripts

Maltesh : What do you feel about the service industry, like courier companies, after email and e-law came into force?
Ramesh : I am bullish on courier and logistics companies.

KRACHH : SIR,PLEASE ADVICE ON KOTAK MAHINDRA
Ramesh : I am impressed by them. Uday is a good manager

KRACHH : SIR,THERE IS NO DOUBT THAT UDAY IS A GOOD MANAGER. BUT THE STOCK PRICE DOES NOT REFLECT THAT, CAN YOU POINT OUT WHY?
Ramesh : It takes time. Rome was not built in a day.

lumine : I have tried to find your transcripts on the site but am unable to
Ramesh : ask the site manager.

mvr : which are the tech/telecom stocks currently useful to buy
Ramesh : VSNL and MTNL obviously

Maltesh : Courier Industry - bullish? Even when I can transfer important documents on the net with the backing of the law? I felt the courier industry may decline over a period.
Ramesh : Remember e-commerce. How are you going to get the shirt, or part on the internet.

RShah : if privatsied which indian co may be interested in Engineers
Ramesh : Other than Reliance all Indian co's have not realised the value of this process. They are sleeping,

pradeeprb : pls advice on IQ Infotech shares which were recently floated in the market
Ramesh : Have not followed it

Maltesh : Why is Parekh Platinum so volatile? Every year it has two bull periods and two bear periods.
Ramesh : I dont follow that

RAG : Hi Ramesh
Ramesh : Hi

RShah : do u feel reliance will bid for all PSU's - CMC , vsnl , engineers , ipcl , brpcl , hpcl , ibp
Ramesh : Some of them partcularlyVSNL, CMC and IBP

Jiten : Good afternoon sir, U have been an ardent recommender of CMC for years now...what do u say now..after the govt. issuing an invitation bid...any steam left..
Ramesh : I think so. It is reason to celebrate. The public is going to be surprised how much money is going to be raised

anil : CENTURION BANK is coming with RIGHTS at a premium of Rs 2. is it worth applying. is it ripe for merger &acquistion. can it increase shareholder value.
Ramesh : I think so.

RShah : what is the fair price for engineers once privatised
Ramesh : Significantly higher than current price

raman : What u feel about govt privatising VSNL and no of few players coming forward for it.
Ramesh : They will. Just be patient

RShah : do u think bechtel and all may be interested in engineers
Ramesh : Sure they would. Great entry into India

Seshu : Why does TISCO scrip never goes beyond 170 even at the best times?
Ramesh : these businesses are commoditised

Swami : Last week I asked about Indo Gulf, Now, suddenly the price goes up with heavy volumes. What couild be the reason ?
Ramesh : it's called a technical break out

RShah : mr. damani , why is moser not moving up
Ramesh : Give it time

Maltesh : When will internet trading pick up in India?
Ramesh : It will take another few years

sunil : Good afternoon Sir, your take on leading tech stocks like Wipro, Infosys and NIIT till budget?
Ramesh : all three are good picks in the tech sector

pradeeprb : do u think the recently floated shares of IQ INFOTECH r worth applying 4?
Ramesh : I have not read the prospectus. Sorry

anil : will you advise the strategy of SELL before budget and BUY after budget this year.
Ramesh : Buy and Hold good stocks

black : Is Andhra Bank's IPO a good buy?
Ramesh : Not really

kumarpvn : should I buy shipping corpn. Ltd and IFCI ltd at current price.
Ramesh : avoid IFCI

manishbabla : MY QUERY IS JUST ONE, I.T. SHOULD WE SELL IT,HOLD OR AVERAGE
Ramesh : Hold the good ones.

Maltesh : Sir, Which stock do you think is currently underpriced for no reason
Ramesh : Still psu shares

subramanian : Hi Ramesh,I Repeat my question......Is silverline and ranbaxy a Good buy at current levels
Ramesh : I am not a bull on those stocks

Mahendran : What about HCL Tech, I am holding at 750. Is it worth? or sell at this level itself.
Ramesh : I would wait for some more Qtrly results

raman : Do u think it is neccessary to privatise profitable company like VSNL instead of giving them free hand.
Ramesh : Yes. Yes. Yes.

Sam : Will we come close to those prices at which we got into those second rung software companies like Vakrangee Softwares and Datasoft Applications?
Ramesh : I doubt it. Story over. Music has stopped playing but people are still dancing.

pankaj : mr.damani,what do you think is the main reason for the sudden pessimism in the infotech industry after the burst of the bubble (i mean the second round )
Ramesh : valuation had become excessive

suganeetm : I brought IDBI during IPO. Should I hold or sell
Ramesh : I would sell it.

subramanian : IS NIIT A GOOD BUY
Ramesh : i like it

Atul : Hello Mr. Ramesh, Is is necessary to have a DEMAT account in order to sell shares?
Ramesh : Yes.

prasanth : dear mr. damani, i bought hfcl 50 shares @rs 1286/- 10 days back, what should i do now. please advice
Ramesh : prasanth be careful with all momentum stocks. They are volatile

Swami : Is great eastern advisable to buy now
Ramesh : Shipping Corp looks better

Jiten : How is Indian rayon, Moser Baer, TNPL, Punjab tractors and Swaraj Engines..
Ramesh : They will do well in the current environment

subramanian : Is Global Tele and Himachal risky investment
Ramesh : very volatile

anilbarc : padmini tech. ????
Ramesh : avoid

hareshsnarang : Sir,What do you think is the future of IT stocks? Will they come up or they wont?
Ramesh : The good ones will. For sure

raman : Is it possible to contact you other than here
Ramesh : unfortunately No

mikku : mr.damani,is rel.petro a good buy at 65?
Ramesh : It's expensive

pankaj : do u think the next boom could come as a mixed bag with cement psu's and the banking sector??
Ramesh : Generally only one sector leads.I believe it could be PSU

kumarpvn : Sir, what is the reason for a sharp rise in the price of SAW Pipes. Will it continue?
Ramesh : Big orders I hear.

vanarun : rameshji good evening
Ramesh : Good Evening

mandy : mr. damani what about TATA Honeywell?? why it is not rising?
Ramesh : I am trying to follow it. Let's be patient

Rajeesh : Mr.Ramesh, how does Zee look at current levels.
Ramesh : Still looks expensive

sunny : what about ril?
Ramesh : You have to respect the price movement

suganeetm : What do you think of Hughes Tele.com shares
Ramesh : Long term it may be interesting

jonya : Dear SirWhat is your opinion about DSQ Soft they have baged $175M US contract will the price go up or down
Ramesh : Mgmt qualities are not the best in the market

vanarun : i purchased bajaj auto at 330 can i get back my investment
Ramesh : Sure at some time

vj : I have bought 300 ZEE @ 650 & stuck, what is ur advice on this??
Ramesh : I am not bullish on ZEE

Rajeesh : Mr.Ramesh, does Silverline have any steam left still!!
Ramesh : Not fundamentally

Swami : You asked, what do your mean by technical break out, advisable to buy now
Ramesh : breaks a price level

kk : Ramesh, What are your views about Engineers India Ltd.
Ramesh : Bullish. See earlier answer

Jiten : will it be advisable to go short on ITC...with the govt. banning the Sports ads by Tobacco companies
Ramesh : No. ITC is a cash machine

bucksoff99 : is ketan parekh out of hfcl
Ramesh : No idea

Rajeesh : Mr.Damani, why is Infosys looking weak for such a long time, not crossing the 7000 mark???
Ramesh : They need an acquisition

kumarpvn : should i buy the aztec software
Ramesh : keep an eye on it

manishbabla : BUY MTNL FOR A MONTH
Ramesh : You could. Thanks for all joining in. See you next week. Bye

Join the Ramesh S Damani chat every Tuesday at 1600 IST.

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